:Product: 1114RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2008 Nov 14 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 319 Issued at 2200Z on 14 Nov 2008
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  13/2100Z
to 14/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. Region 1008 (N33W53)
continues to be quiet and to decline.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low. There is a slight chance of a C-class flare from Region 1008.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 13/2100Z to 14/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux
at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels in the past 24 hours.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet with isolated unsettled conditions possible
during the forecast period.
III.  Event Probabilities 15 Nov-17 Nov
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           14 Nov 068
Predicted   15 Nov-17 Nov  070/068/068
90 Day Mean        14 Nov 067
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 13 Nov  002/001
Estimated Afr/Ap 14 Nov  005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 15 Nov-17 Nov  007/008-005/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 15 Nov-17 Nov
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                01/01/01
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                01/01/01
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01