:Product: 1116RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2008 Nov 16 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 321 Issued at 2200Z on 16 Nov 2008
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  15/2100Z
to 16/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. Region 1008 (N33W78)
continues to decay, presently a one spot HSX, alpha. No flares were
observed during the past 24 hours.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low. There is a slight chance for a C-class flare from Region 1008.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 15/2100Z to 16/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet. Two active periods were
observed from 0000 to 0600 UTC.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly quiet with isolated periods of unsettled
conditions.
III.  Event Probabilities 17 Nov-19 Nov
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           16 Nov 068
Predicted   17 Nov-19 Nov  068/068/068
90 Day Mean        16 Nov 068
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 15 Nov  003/006
Estimated Afr/Ap 16 Nov  005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 17 Nov-19 Nov  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 17 Nov-19 Nov
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                05/05/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                05/05/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01