:Product: 1210RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2008 Dec 10 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 345 Issued at 2200Z on 10 Dec 2008
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  09/2100Z
to 10/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low.  A new region was numbered
today as Region 1009 (S26W59).
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 09/2100Z to 10/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels.  The greater than 2 MeV
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet levels for 11-12 December.  Quiet to
unsettled conditions with a chance for isolated active levels are
expected for 13 December.  The increase in activity is forecast due
to a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream.
III.  Event Probabilities 11 Dec-13 Dec
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           10 Dec 071
Predicted   11 Dec-13 Dec  071/071/071
90 Day Mean        10 Dec 068
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 09 Dec  001/000
Estimated Afr/Ap 10 Dec  001/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 11 Dec-13 Dec  005/005-005/005-008/008
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 11 Dec-13 Dec
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                05/05/10
Minor storm           01/01/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                05/05/20
Minor storm           01/01/10
Major-severe storm    01/01/01