:Product: 0101RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2009 Jan 01 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 001 Issued at 2200Z on 01 Jan 2009
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  31/2100Z
to 01/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. No flares were detected.
The visible disk was spotless.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 31/2100Z to 01/2100Z:
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet to unsettled levels. ACE
solar wind measurements indicated Earth remained within a recurrent
coronal hole high-speed stream. Solar wind velocities gradually
decreased from 538 to 413 km/sec during the period.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be at quiet to active levels during day 1 (02 January).
Activity is expected to decrease to quiet to unsettled levels during
days 2 - 3 (03 - 04 January) as the high-speed stream subsides.
III.  Event Probabilities 02 Jan-04 Jan
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           01 Jan 069
Predicted   02 Jan-04 Jan  069/069/069
90 Day Mean        01 Jan 069
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 31 Dec  008/010
Estimated Afr/Ap 01 Jan  008/008
Predicted Afr/Ap 02 Jan-04 Jan  012/012-008/008-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 02 Jan-04 Jan
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                20/15/05
Minor storm           10/05/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                30/20/10
Minor storm           15/10/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01