:Product: 0110RSGA.txt :Issued: 2009 Jan 10 2200 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity SDF Number 010 Issued at 2200Z on 10 Jan 2009 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 09/2100Z to 10/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. Region 1010 (N20E20) produced three low-level B-class flares. The largest of these was a B4 at 10/0003Z. This region has grown in spot count and white light area, and retains its beta magnetic configuration. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low. IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 09/2100Z to 10/2100Z: The geomagnetic field was predominantly quiet. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be predominantly quiet for the next three days (11 - 13 January). III. Event Probabilities 11 Jan-13 Jan Class M 01/01/01 Class X 01/01/01 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF green IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 10 Jan 071 Predicted 11 Jan-13 Jan 070/070/070 90 Day Mean 10 Jan 069 V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 09 Jan 004/004 Estimated Afr/Ap 10 Jan 003/005 Predicted Afr/Ap 11 Jan-13 Jan 005/005-005/005-005/005 VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 11 Jan-13 Jan A. Middle Latitudes Active 01/01/01 Minor storm 01/01/01 Major-severe storm 01/01/01 B. High Latitudes Active 05/05/05 Minor storm 01/01/01 Major-severe storm 01/01/01