:Product: 0203RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2009 Feb 03 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 034 Issued at 2200Z on 03 Feb 2009
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  02/2100Z
to 03/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. The disk was spotless.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 02/2100Z to 03/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet. A discontinuity in the solar wind
was seen at ACE at about 1910 UTC, when the speed increased by 60
km/s (to 360 km/s) and the magnetic field vector turned southward to
about -8 nT for a short time. A sudden impulse at 2014 UTC at
Boulder followed, measuring 10 nT. The field remained quiet after
the impulse.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet.
III.  Event Probabilities 04 Feb-06 Feb
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           03 Feb 069
Predicted   04 Feb-06 Feb  070/070/070
90 Day Mean        03 Feb 069
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 02 Feb  000/002
Estimated Afr/Ap 03 Feb  001/003
Predicted Afr/Ap 04 Feb-06 Feb  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 04 Feb-06 Feb
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                01/01/01
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                05/05/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01