:Product: 0204RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2009 Feb 04 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 035 Issued at 2200Z on 04 Feb 2009
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  03/2100Z
to 04/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low.  The solar disk remains
spotless and there were no flares observed during the past 24 hours.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 03/2100Z to 04/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to minor storm conditions.  The
disturbance in the solar wind continued from yesterday. 
Observations from the ACE spacecraft reflect a possible CME
signature associated with this disturbance.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled conditions for 05 February. 
Predominately quiet levels are expected for 06-07 February.
III.  Event Probabilities 05 Feb-07 Feb
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           04 Feb 070
Predicted   05 Feb-07 Feb  070/070/070
90 Day Mean        04 Feb 069
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 03 Feb  002/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 04 Feb  010/015
Predicted Afr/Ap 05 Feb-07 Feb  006/008-005/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 05 Feb-07 Feb
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                05/01/01
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                10/05/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01