:Product: 0303RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2009 Mar 03 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 062 Issued at 2200Z on 03 Mar 2009
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  02/2100Z
to 03/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed
during the past 24 hours and the solar disk continues to be
spotless.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 02/2100Z to 03/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet during the past 24 hours. A weak
sudden impulse occurred at 03/0602Z in response to a discontinuity
in the solar wind observed at ACE at 0451Z; solar wind speed
increased from around 320 km/s to about 350 km/s. Nonetheless the
slight elevation of solar wind speed was not sufficient to produce
activity above the quiet levels.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet for the next three days.
III.  Event Probabilities 04 Mar-06 Mar
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           03 Mar 069
Predicted   04 Mar-06 Mar  070/070/070
90 Day Mean        03 Mar 070
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 02 Mar  000/002
Estimated Afr/Ap 03 Mar  005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 04 Mar-06 Mar  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 04 Mar-06 Mar
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                15/10/10
Minor storm           05/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                20/15/10
Minor storm           10/05/01
Major-severe storm    05/01/01