:Product: 0304RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2009 Mar 04 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 063 Issued at 2200Z on 04 Mar 2009
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  03/2100Z
to 04/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed.
The visible disk was spotless.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 03/2100Z to 04/2100Z:
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet to unsettled levels. Field
activity increased to unsettled levels during 04/0000 - 0300Z. ACE
solar wind measurements indicated the increase was associated with a
period of sustained southward IMF Bz combined with enhanced IMF Bt
and a modest increase in velocities.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be at mostly quiet levels during the period (05 - 07
March).
III.  Event Probabilities 05 Mar-07 Mar
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           04 Mar 070
Predicted   05 Mar-07 Mar  070/070/070
90 Day Mean        04 Mar 070
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 03 Mar  005/005
Estimated Afr/Ap 04 Mar  005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 05 Mar-07 Mar  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 05 Mar-07 Mar
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                10/05/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                15/10/10
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01