:Product: 0310RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2009 Mar 10 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 069 Issued at 2200Z on 10 Mar 2009
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  09/2100Z
to 10/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. No flares were detected.
The visible disk was spotless.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 09/2100Z to 10/2100Z:
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet levels.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be at quiet levels during the first two days of the
forecast period (11 - 12 March). Activity is expected to increase to
quiet to active levels on day 3 (13 March) with a chance for minor
to major storm periods at high latitudes due to a recurrent coronal
hole high-speed stream.
III.  Event Probabilities 11 Mar-13 Mar
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           10 Mar 070
Predicted   11 Mar-13 Mar  070/070/070
90 Day Mean        10 Mar 070
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 09 Mar  001/002
Estimated Afr/Ap 10 Mar  002/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 11 Mar-13 Mar  005/005-005/005-012/015
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 11 Mar-13 Mar
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                05/05/20
Minor storm           01/01/10
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                10/10/30
Minor storm           01/01/20
Major-severe storm    01/01/05