:Product: 0311RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2009 Mar 11 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 070 Issued at 2200Z on 11 Mar 2009
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  10/2100Z
to 11/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. No flares were detected.
The visible disk was spotless.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 10/2100Z to 11/2100Z:
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet levels.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be at quiet levels on day 1 of the forecast period (12 March). Activity is expected to increase to unsettled to active
levels during days 2 - 3 (13 - 14 March) with a chance for minor to
major storm periods at high latitudes due to a recurrent coronal
hole high-speed stream.
III.  Event Probabilities 12 Mar-14 Mar
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           11 Mar 070
Predicted   12 Mar-14 Mar  070/070/070
90 Day Mean        11 Mar 070
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 10 Mar  003/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 11 Mar  001/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 12 Mar-14 Mar  005/005-012/015-010/010
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 12 Mar-14 Mar
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                05/20/15
Minor storm           01/10/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                10/30/25
Minor storm           01/20/15
Major-severe storm    01/05/05