:Product: 0314RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2009 Mar 14 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 073 Issued at 2200Z on 14 Mar 2009
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  13/2100Z
to 14/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. No flares were detected.
The visible disk was spotless.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 13/2100Z to 14/2100Z:
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet to unsettled levels. Solar
wind velocity at ACE showed a gradual decrease from 550 to 530 km/s
as effects from a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream wane. The
greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached
high levels during the forecast period.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be predominately quiet for the next three days (15 - 17
March).
III.  Event Probabilities 15 Mar-17 Mar
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           14 Mar 069
Predicted   15 Mar-17 Mar  070/070/070
90 Day Mean        14 Mar 070
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 13 Mar  010/016
Estimated Afr/Ap 14 Mar  008/008
Predicted Afr/Ap 15 Mar-17 Mar  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 15 Mar-17 Mar
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                10/05/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                15/10/10
Minor storm           05/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01