:Product: 0405RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2009 Apr 05 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 095 Issued at 2200Z on 05 Apr 2009
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  04/2100Z
to 05/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. No flares occurred during
the past 24 hours and the solar disk continues to be without
sunspots.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 04/2100Z to 05/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet during the past 24 hours.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet for the first and second days (6-7 April).
Quiet conditions will continue for most of the third day (8 April).
However, an increase to unsettled levels is expected late on the
third day or early on the fourth day in response to a favorably
positioned coronal hole.
III.  Event Probabilities 06 Apr-08 Apr
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           05 Apr 070
Predicted   06 Apr-08 Apr  070/070/070
90 Day Mean        05 Apr 070
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 04 Apr  000/002
Estimated Afr/Ap 05 Apr  005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 06 Apr-08 Apr  005/005-005/005-005/008
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 06 Apr-08 Apr
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                10/10/10
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                10/10/10
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01