:Product: 0408RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2009 Apr 08 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 098 Issued at 2200Z on 08 Apr 2009
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  07/2100Z
to 08/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low.  No flares were observed
the past 24 hours.  The solar disk remains spotless.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 07/2100Z to 08/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled conditions.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled conditions for 09 - 10 April due
to a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream.  Isolated active
levels at mid latitudes, and isolated minor storm conditions at high
latitudes are possible on 09 April associated with the increase in
activity.  Predominantly quiet levels are expected on 11 April.
III.  Event Probabilities 09 Apr-11 Apr
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           08 Apr 070
Predicted   09 Apr-11 Apr  070/070/070
90 Day Mean        08 Apr 070
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 07 Apr  002/002
Estimated Afr/Ap 08 Apr  005/008
Predicted Afr/Ap 09 Apr-11 Apr  010/015-007/008-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 09 Apr-11 Apr
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                35/30/05
Minor storm           10/05/01
Major-severe storm    05/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                35/35/10
Minor storm           15/10/01
Major-severe storm    05/05/01