:Product: 0501RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2009 May 01 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 121 Issued at 2200Z on 01 May 2009
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  30/2100Z
to 01/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. Region 1016 (S07W93)
produced a B2 flare at 01/0858Z as it approached the east limb.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 30/2100Z to 01/2100Z:
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet levels.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be at quiet levels through the forecast period (02 - 04
May).
III.  Event Probabilities 02 May-04 May
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           01 May 069
Predicted   02 May-04 May  070/070/070
90 Day Mean        01 May 070
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 30 Apr  002/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 01 May  003/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 02 May-04 May  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 02 May-04 May
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                05/05/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                05/05/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01