:Product: 0503RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2009 May 03 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 123 Issued at 2200Z on 03 May 2009
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  02/2100Z
to 03/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. No flares were detected.
The visible disk was spotless.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 02/2100Z to 03/2100Z:
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet levels.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be at quiet levels durings days 1 - 2 (04 - 05 May).
Field activity is expected to increase to unsettled levels on day 3
(06 May) with a chance for active levels at high latitudes due to a
recurrent coronal hole high-speed stream.
III.  Event Probabilities 04 May-06 May
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           03 May 069
Predicted   04 May-06 May  069/069/069
90 Day Mean        03 May 070
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 02 May  003/005
Estimated Afr/Ap 03 May  003/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 04 May-06 May  005/005-005/005-010/012
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 04 May-06 May
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                05/05/25
Minor storm           01/01/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                05/05/40
Minor storm           01/01/15
Major-severe storm    01/01/05