:Product: 0506RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2009 May 06 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 126 Issued at 2200Z on 06 May 2009
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  05/2100Z
to 06/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. No flares were detected.
The visible disk was spotless.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 05/2100Z to 06/2100Z:
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet levels.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be quiet to unsettled, with a chance for isolated active
levels at high latitudes, on day one (07 May) due to a recurrent
coronal hole high-speed stream. Predominately quiet levels are
expected on days two and three (08 - 09 May) as the effects of the
high speed stream decrease.
III.  Event Probabilities 07 May-09 May
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           06 May 069
Predicted   07 May-09 May  070/070/070
90 Day Mean        06 May 070
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 05 May  002/002
Estimated Afr/Ap 06 May  007/012
Predicted Afr/Ap 07 May-09 May  007/008-005/008-005/008
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 07 May-09 May
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                15/05/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                25/10/10
Minor storm           10/05/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01