:Product: 0510RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2009 May 10 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 130 Issued at 2200Z on 10 May 2009
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  09/2100Z
to 10/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low.  B1 flares were observed
at 10/0304Z and 10/1216Z. No spots were observed on the visible
disk.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low, with a slight chance for an isolated C-class flare.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 09/2100Z to 10/2100Z:
Geomagnetic activity was quiet.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  Geomagnetic activity is
expected to be quiet for the forecast period (11-13 May).
III.  Event Probabilities 11 May-13 May
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           10 May 072
Predicted   11 May-13 May  072/072/073
90 Day Mean        10 May 070
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 09 May  006/006
Estimated Afr/Ap 10 May  005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 11 May-13 May  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 11 May-13 May
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                05/05/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                10/10/10
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01