:Product: 0513RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2009 May 13 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 133 Issued at 2200Z on 13 May 2009
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  12/2100Z
to 13/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. No flares were detected.
New Region 1017 (N18E27) was numbered today. This region is
classified as a Bxo beta spot group.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 12/2100Z to 13/2100Z:
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet levels.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be predominately quiet for the next three days (14 - 16
May).
III.  Event Probabilities 14 May-16 May
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           13 May 074
Predicted   14 May-16 May  073/073/073
90 Day Mean        13 May 070
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 12 May  000/002
Estimated Afr/Ap 13 May  005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 14 May-16 May  005/005-005/008-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 14 May-16 May
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                05/05/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                10/10/10
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01