:Product: 0516RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2009 May 16 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 136 Issued at 2200Z on 16 May 2009
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  15/2100Z
to 16/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. Region 1017 (N18W09) was
quiet.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 15/2100Z to 16/2100Z:
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet levels.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be predominately quiet for the forecast period (17-19
May).
III.  Event Probabilities 17 May-19 May
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           16 May 074
Predicted   17 May-19 May  075/075/074
90 Day Mean        16 May 069
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 15 May  002/002
Estimated Afr/Ap 16 May  005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 17 May-19 May  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 17 May-19 May
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                05/05/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                10/10/10
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01