:Product: 0616RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2009 Jun 16 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 167 Issued at 2200Z on 16 Jun 2009
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  15/2100Z
to 16/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low.  A 10 degree filament
(S15E30) disappeared between 15/2309Z and 16/0104Z.  A slow moving
CME was visible in the SOHO/LASCO imagery associated with this
event.  The visible solar disk remains spotless.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 15/2100Z to 16/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels the last 24 hours.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to remain at quiet levels for the next three days (17-19
June).
III.  Event Probabilities 17 Jun-19 Jun
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           16 Jun 068
Predicted   17 Jun-19 Jun  068/068/068
90 Day Mean        16 Jun 070
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 15 Jun  004/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 16 Jun  003/004
Predicted Afr/Ap 17 Jun-19 Jun  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 17 Jun-19 Jun
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                05/05/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                05/05/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01