:Product: 0621RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2009 Jun 21 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 172 Issued at 2200Z on 21 Jun 2009
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  20/2100Z
to 21/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low.  No flares were observed. 
New Region 1022 (S27E15) was numbered during the period.  The region
emerged on the disk as a 2-spot, bi-polar Bxo beta spot group.  The
region has been quiet and stable.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to remain
at very low levels for the next three days (22 - 24 June).
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 20/2100Z to 21/2100Z:
The geomagetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels.  A brief
period of sustained negative Bz, from about 20/2100Z to 21/0200Z,
resulted in unsettled geomagnetic conditions observed at all
latitudes.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly quiet for the next three days (22 - 24 June).
III.  Event Probabilities 22 Jun-24 Jun
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           21 Jun 067
Predicted   22 Jun-24 Jun  068/068/068
90 Day Mean        21 Jun 070
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 20 Jun  005/006
Estimated Afr/Ap 21 Jun  008/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 22 Jun-24 Jun  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 22 Jun-24 Jun
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                05/05/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                05/05/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01