:Product: 0709RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2009 Jul 09 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 190 Issued at 2200Z on 09 Jul 2009
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  08/2100Z
to 09/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low.  No flares occurred during
the past 24 hours.  Region 1024 (S09W65) was quiet and stable as it
approached the west limb.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 08/2100Z to 09/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet.  Solar wind started to
increase at approximately 1700Z due to coronal hole effects.  This
resulted in an unsettled period for 1800Z to 2100Z.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected be quiet on day one (10 July).  Day two (11 July) is
expected to be quiet to unsettled due to possible coronal hole
effects.  Day three (12 July) is expected to be quiet.
III.  Event Probabilities 10 Jul-12 Jul
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           09 Jul 069
Predicted   10 Jul-12 Jul  069/069/068
90 Day Mean        09 Jul 070
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 08 Jul  003/006
Estimated Afr/Ap 09 Jul  005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 10 Jul-12 Jul  005/005-007/008-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 10 Jul-12 Jul
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                05/10/05
Minor storm           01/05/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                10/15/10
Minor storm           05/10/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01