:Product: 0710RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2009 Jul 10 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 191 Issued at 2200Z on 10 Jul 2009
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  09/2100Z
to 10/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low.  No flares occurred during
the past 24 hours. Region 1024 (S25W79) was quiet and stable as it
approached the west limb.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 09/2100Z to 10/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet with occasional unsettled
periods due to a high speed stream from a coronal hole.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled for day one (11 July), with a
slight chance for isolated active periods due to coronal hole
effects.  Conditions are expected to be quiet for days two and three
(12-13 July).
III.  Event Probabilities 11 Jul-13 Jul
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           10 Jul 068
Predicted   11 Jul-13 Jul  068/068/068
90 Day Mean        10 Jul 070
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 09 Jul  006/006
Estimated Afr/Ap 10 Jul  007/007
Predicted Afr/Ap 11 Jul-13 Jul  010/010-005/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 11 Jul-13 Jul
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                15/05/05
Minor storm           05/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                25/15/05
Minor storm           10/05/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01