:Product: 0711RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2009 Jul 11 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 192 Issued at 2200Z on 11 Jul 2009
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  10/2100Z
to 11/2100Z:  Solar activity continued very low. The disk is now
spotless as Region 1024 is past west limb at S25.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 10/2100Z to 11/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field has been quiet. Although the solar wind speed
has been elevated from recent times to near 450 km/s, the IMF is
weak and, therefore, of little stimulus to the magnetosphere.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to remain quiet throughout the forecast period.
III.  Event Probabilities 12 Jul-14 Jul
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           11 Jul 068
Predicted   12 Jul-14 Jul  068/068/068
90 Day Mean        11 Jul 070
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 10 Jul  007/007
Estimated Afr/Ap 11 Jul  002/003
Predicted Afr/Ap 12 Jul-14 Jul  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 12 Jul-14 Jul
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                05/05/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                05/05/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01