:Product: 0715RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2009 Jul 15 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 196 Issued at 2200Z on 15 Jul 2009
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  14/2100Z
to 15/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. No flares have occured.
The visible disk remains spotless.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected  to remain
very low for the next three days (16-18 July).
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 14/2100Z to 15/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to unsettled levels over the
past 24 hours. Solar wind speeds decayed from around 530 km/s to
near 425 km/s throughout the day.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet for the next three days (16-18 July).
III.  Event Probabilities 16 Jul-18 Jul
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           15 Jul 067
Predicted   16 Jul-18 Jul  067/067/067
90 Day Mean        15 Jul 069
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 14 Jul  006/008
Estimated Afr/Ap 15 Jul  006/006
Predicted Afr/Ap 16 Jul-18 Jul  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 16 Jul-18 Jul
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                05/05/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                05/05/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01