:Product: 0716RSGA.txt :Issued: 2009 Jul 16 2200 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity SDF Number 197 Issued at 2200Z on 16 Jul 2009 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 15/2100Z to 16/2100Z: Solar activity was very low for the past 24 hours. No flares have occurred. The visible disk remains spotless. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to remain very low for the next three days (17-19 July). IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 15/2100Z to 16/2100Z: The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to remain quiet for the next three days (17-19 July). III. Event Probabilities 17 Jul-19 Jul Class M 01/01/01 Class X 01/01/01 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF Green IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 16 Jul 067 Predicted 17 Jul-19 Jul 067/067/067 90 Day Mean 16 Jul 069 V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 15 Jul 003/005 Estimated Afr/Ap 16 Jul 003/005 Predicted Afr/Ap 17 Jul-19 Jul 005/005-005/005-005/005 VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 17 Jul-19 Jul A. Middle Latitudes Active 05/05/05 Minor storm 01/01/01 Major-severe storm 01/01/01 B. High Latitudes Active 05/05/05 Minor storm 01/01/01 Major-severe storm 01/01/01