:Product: 0718RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2009 Jul 18 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 199 Issued at 2200Z on 18 Jul 2009
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  17/2100Z
to 18/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. No flares occurred as the
disk remains spotless.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity will continue very low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 17/2100Z to 18/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field will be
quiet early in the interval, then become increasingly disturbed when
a recurrent high-speed stream returns. Unsettled to active
conditions are anticipated by July 21.
III.  Event Probabilities 19 Jul-21 Jul
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           18 Jul 067
Predicted   19 Jul-21 Jul  067/067/067
90 Day Mean        18 Jul 069
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 17 Jul  000/002
Estimated Afr/Ap 18 Jul  000/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 19 Jul-21 Jul  005/005-005/008-015/018
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 19 Jul-21 Jul
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                05/05/25
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                05/05/35
Minor storm           01/01/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01