:Product: 0719RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2009 Jul 19 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 200 Issued at 2200Z on 19 Jul 2009
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  18/2100Z
to 19/2100Z:  Solar activity continues to be very low. No flares
occurred. The disk remains spotless, now for the eighth successive
day.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 18/2100Z to 19/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet for the next 24 to 36 hours. The effects of a
high speed solar wind stream are due on July 21-22. Unsettled to
active conditions should prevail during that interval.
III.  Event Probabilities 20 Jul-22 Jul
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           19 Jul 068
Predicted   20 Jul-22 Jul  067/067/067
90 Day Mean        19 Jul 069
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 18 Jul  001/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 19 Jul  001/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 20 Jul-22 Jul  005/008-015/018-010/010
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 20 Jul-22 Jul
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                05/25/20
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                05/35/30
Minor storm           01/05/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01