:Product: 0724RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2009 Jul 24 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 205 Issued at 2200Z on 24 Jul 2009
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  23/2100Z
to 24/2100Z:  Solar activity has been very low.  No flares were
observed during the past 24 hours.  The solar disk remains spotless.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 23/2100Z to 24/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.  Solar wind speeds
observed from the ACE spacecraft are averaging around 550 km/s with
minor IMF Bz fluctuations (+/-2nT).
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be predominately quiet for the next three days (25-27
July).  Isolated unsettled conditions are expected for 26 July due
to a recurrent high speed stream.
III.  Event Probabilities 25 Jul-27 Jul
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           24 Jul 068
Predicted   25 Jul-27 Jul  069/070/070
90 Day Mean        24 Jul 069
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 23 Jul  008/008
Estimated Afr/Ap 24 Jul  006/007
Predicted Afr/Ap 25 Jul-27 Jul  005/005-007/008-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 25 Jul-27 Jul
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                05/10/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                05/15/05
Minor storm           01/05/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01