:Product: 0801RSGA.txt :Issued: 2009 Aug 01 2200 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity SDF Number 213 Issued at 2200Z on 01 Aug 2009 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 31/2100Z to 01/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. A very weak A-level event was seen in GOES x-rays around 0243Z which was associated with brightening in a spotless plage region near S26E06. The solar disk was otherwise void of activity and continues to be without sunspots. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low. IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 31/2100Z to 01/2100Z: The geomagnetic field was quiet during the past 24 hours. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet for the next three days (2-4 August). III. Event Probabilities 02 Aug-04 Aug Class M 01/01/01 Class X 01/01/01 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF Green IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 01 Aug 068 Predicted 02 Aug-04 Aug 068/068/068 90 Day Mean 01 Aug 069 V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 31 Jul 004/005 Estimated Afr/Ap 01 Aug 003/007 Predicted Afr/Ap 02 Aug-04 Aug 005/005-005/005-005/005 VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 02 Aug-04 Aug A. Middle Latitudes Active 05/05/10 Minor storm 01/01/01 Major-severe storm 01/01/01 B. High Latitudes Active 05/05/15 Minor storm 01/01/05 Major-severe storm 01/01/01