:Product: 0804RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2009 Aug 04 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 216 Issued at 2200Z on 04 Aug 2009
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  03/2100Z
to 04/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low.  No flares occurred during
the past 24 hours.  The visible disk was spotless.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 03/2100Z to 04/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly quiet to unsettled with a slight chance for
isolated active periods on days one and two of the forecast period
(05 - 06 August) as a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream
becomes geoeffective.  Day three (07 August) is expected to be
quiet.
III.  Event Probabilities 05 Aug-07 Aug
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           04 Aug 066
Predicted   05 Aug-07 Aug  067/067/067
90 Day Mean        04 Aug 069
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 03 Aug  007/010
Estimated Afr/Ap 04 Aug  003/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 05 Aug-07 Aug  007/007-007/007-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 05 Aug-07 Aug
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                20/20/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                25/25/10
Minor storm           05/05/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01