:Product: 0827RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2009 Aug 27 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 239 Issued at 2200Z on 27 Aug 2009
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  26/2100Z
to 27/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. No flares were detected.
The visible disk was spotless.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 26/2100Z to 27/2100Z:
Geomagnetic field activity was quiet.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be quiet to unsettled on day one (28 August) due to
effects from a coronal hole. Quiet conditions are expected on days
two and three (29 - 30 August).
III.  Event Probabilities 28 Aug-30 Aug
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           27 Aug 068
Predicted   28 Aug-30 Aug  068/068/068
90 Day Mean        27 Aug 068
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 26 Aug  004/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 27 Aug  007/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 28 Aug-30 Aug  007/008-005/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 28 Aug-30 Aug
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                15/05/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                20/05/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01