:Product: 0830RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2009 Aug 30 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 242 Issued at 2200Z on 30 Aug 2009
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  29/2100Z
to 30/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. No spots and no flares
were observed on the visible disk.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 29/2100Z to 30/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to minor storm conditions. The
solar wind increased from 350 to 450 km/s. The Bz varied from +10 to
-10 through the UT day. This activity was due to the onset of a
southern coronal hole high speed stream becoming geoeffective.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field will be
quiet to unsettled with isolated periods of active conditions
possible on day one (31 August) and mostly quiet for the remainder
of the forecast period (1 - 2 September).
III.  Event Probabilities 31 Aug-02 Sep
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           30 Aug 067
Predicted   31 Aug-02 Sep  068/068/068
90 Day Mean        30 Aug 068
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 29 Aug  002/002
Estimated Afr/Ap 30 Aug  012/015
Predicted Afr/Ap 31 Aug-02 Sep  007/010-005/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 31 Aug-02 Sep
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                05/05/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                05/05/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01