:Product: 0831RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2009 Aug 31 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 243 Issued at 2200Z on 31 Aug 2009
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  30/2100Z
to 31/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low.  New Region 1025 (N17E33)
was assigned today. No flares were observed.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 30/2100Z to 31/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. The unsettled
conditions were due to a coronal hole high speed stream.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet on days 1 and 2 (1 - 2 September). Day 3 (3
September) is expected to increase to quiet to unsettled levels due
to a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream.
III.  Event Probabilities 01 Sep-03 Sep
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           31 Aug 068
Predicted   01 Sep-03 Sep  068/068/068
90 Day Mean        31 Aug 068
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 30 Aug  012/019
Estimated Afr/Ap 31 Aug  007/007
Predicted Afr/Ap 01 Sep-03 Sep  005/005-005/005-008/010
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 01 Sep-03 Sep
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                05/05/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                05/05/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01