:Product: 0901RSGA.txt :Issued: 2009 Sep 01 2200 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity SDF Number 244 Issued at 2200Z on 01 Sep 2009 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 31/2100Z to 01/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. Region 1025 (N17E18) a small, simple Bxo continues to grow. No flares were observed. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low. IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 31/2100Z to 01/2100Z: The geomagnetic field was quiet. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet on day 1 (2 September) and quiet to unsettled on days 2 and 3 (3 -4 September). The activity is due to a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream. III. Event Probabilities 02 Sep-04 Sep Class M 01/01/01 Class X 01/01/01 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF green IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 01 Sep 069 Predicted 02 Sep-04 Sep 068/068/068 90 Day Mean 01 Sep 068 V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 31 Aug 005/005 Estimated Afr/Ap 01 Sep 005/005 Predicted Afr/Ap 02 Sep-04 Sep 005/007-008/010-008/008 VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 02 Sep-04 Sep A. Middle Latitudes Active 05/05/05 Minor storm 01/01/01 Major-severe storm 01/01/01 B. High Latitudes Active 05/05/05 Minor storm 01/01/01 Major-severe storm 01/01/01