:Product: 0905RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2009 Sep 05 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 248 Issued at 2200Z on 05 Sep 2009
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  04/2100Z
to 05/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed.
The visible disk remained spotless.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 04/2100Z to 05/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet on days one and two (06-07 September). Quiet to
unsettled levels, with isolated active periods at high latitudes,
are expected on day three (08 September), as a  coronal hole
high-speed stream is expected to rotate into a geoeffective
position.
III.  Event Probabilities 06 Sep-08 Sep
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           05 Sep 069
Predicted   06 Sep-08 Sep  068/068/068
90 Day Mean        05 Sep 068
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 04 Sep  004/005
Estimated Afr/Ap 05 Sep  003/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 06 Sep-08 Sep  005/005-005/005-007/008
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 06 Sep-08 Sep
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                05/05/20
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                05/05/25
Minor storm           01/01/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01