:Product: 0907RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2009 Sep 07 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 250 Issued at 2200Z on 07 Sep 2009
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  06/2100Z
to 07/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed.
The visible disk remained spotless.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low for the next three days (8-10 September).
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 06/2100Z to 07/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet with isolated unsettled periods on day one and
day two (8-9 September). The increased activity is due to a
recurrent coronal hole high speed stream. On day three (10
September), the geomagnetic field will return to quiet levels.
III.  Event Probabilities 08 Sep-10 Sep
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           07 Sep 069
Predicted   08 Sep-10 Sep  068/068/068
90 Day Mean        07 Sep 068
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 06 Sep  002/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 07 Sep  002/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 08 Sep-10 Sep  005/008-007/010-005/008
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 08 Sep-10 Sep
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                10/15/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                10/15/10
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01