:Product: 0912RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2009 Sep 12 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 255 Issued at 2200Z on 12 Sep 2009
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  11/2100Z
to 12/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed.
The visible disk remained spotless.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 11/2100Z to 12/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be predominantly quiet, with isolated unsettled periods
for the next three days (13-15 September) as a coronal hole is
expected  to become geoeffective.
III.  Event Probabilities 13 Sep-15 Sep
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           12 Sep 069
Predicted   13 Sep-15 Sep  069/068/068
90 Day Mean        12 Sep 068
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 11 Sep  002/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 12 Sep  003/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 13 Sep-15 Sep  005/007-007/007-007/010
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 13 Sep-15 Sep
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                05/10/10
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                10/15/15
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01