:Product: 0927RSGA.txt :Issued: 2009 Sep 27 2200 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity SDF Number 270 Issued at 2200Z on 27 Sep 2009 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 26/2100Z to 27/2100Z: Solar activity has been very low. Region 1027 (N24W34) is a single spot alpha group today. No flares were observed during the past 24 hours. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low. IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 26/2100Z to 27/2100Z: The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels. An isolated period of active conditions was observed at mid-latitudes at 27/1200Z. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be predominantly quiet for the next three days (28-30 September). III. Event Probabilities 28 Sep-30 Sep Class M 01/01/01 Class X 01/01/01 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF green IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 27 Sep 072 Predicted 28 Sep-30 Sep 070/070/070 90 Day Mean 27 Sep 068 V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 26 Sep 003/003 Estimated Afr/Ap 27 Sep 007/008 Predicted Afr/Ap 28 Sep-30 Sep 005/005-005/005-005/005 VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 28 Sep-30 Sep A. Middle Latitudes Active 05/05/05 Minor storm 01/01/01 Major-severe storm 01/01/01 B. High Latitudes Active 05/05/05 Minor storm 01/01/01 Major-severe storm 01/01/01