:Product: 0929RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2009 Sep 29 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 272 Issued at 2200Z on 29 Sep 2009
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  28/2100Z
to 29/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low.  Region 1027 (N23W62)
indicated a slight decrease in area and spot number and maintains a
bipolar magnetic configuration.  No significant flares were observed
during the past 24 hours.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low with a slight chance for a C-class event.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 28/2100Z to 29/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet on day one (30 September).  Quiet to unsettled
levels are expected on days two and three (01-02 October) due to a
coronal hole high speed stream.
III.  Event Probabilities 30 Sep-02 Oct
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           29 Sep 072
Predicted   30 Sep-02 Oct  072/072/070
90 Day Mean        29 Sep 069
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 28 Sep  006/008
Estimated Afr/Ap 29 Sep  002/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 30 Sep-02 Oct  005/005-007/007-007/007
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 30 Sep-02 Oct
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                05/10/10
Minor storm           01/05/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                05/15/15
Minor storm           01/05/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01