:Product: 1001RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2009 Oct 01 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 274 Issued at 2200Z on 01 Oct 2009
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  30/2100Z
to 01/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low.  Region 1027 (N24W89)
produced a B7 flare at 01/0255Z.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 30/2100Z to 01/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.  ACE solar wind data indicate a
continued influence from a weak coronal hole high speed stream. 
Average solar wind velocities are around 350 km/s, with low density
and Bz fluctuations from +/- 6 nT.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be predominantly quiet for the next three days (02-04
October) as the high speed stream subsides.
III.  Event Probabilities 02 Oct-04 Oct
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           01 Oct 072
Predicted   02 Oct-04 Oct  070/070/069
90 Day Mean        01 Oct 069
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 30 Sep  005/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 01 Oct  003/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 02 Oct-04 Oct  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 02 Oct-04 Oct
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                05/05/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                05/05/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01