:Product: 1005RSGA.txt :Issued: 2009 Oct 05 2200 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity SDF Number 278 Issued at 2200Z on 05 Oct 2009 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 04/2100Z to 05/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to remain at very low levels for the next three days (6-8 October). IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 04/2100Z to 05/2100Z: The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to remain at quiet levels for the next three days (6-8 October). III. Event Probabilities 06 Oct-08 Oct Class M 01/01/01 Class X 01/01/01 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF green IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 05 Oct 070 Predicted 06 Oct-08 Oct 069/069/069 90 Day Mean 05 Oct 069 V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 04 Oct 004/004 Estimated Afr/Ap 05 Oct 001/003 Predicted Afr/Ap 06 Oct-08 Oct 005/005-005/005-005/005 VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 06 Oct-08 Oct A. Middle Latitudes Active 05/05/05 Minor storm 01/01/01 Major-severe storm 01/01/01 B. High Latitudes Active 05/05/05 Minor storm 01/01/01 Major-severe storm 01/01/01