:Product: 1007RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2009 Oct 07 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 280 Issued at 2200Z on 07 Oct 2009
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  06/2100Z
to 07/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. No flares occurred. The
visible disk was spotless.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 06/2100Z to 07/2100Z:
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet levels.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be at quiet levels through most of the period (08 - 10
October). However, there is a slight chance for unsettled conditions
late on day 3 (10 October) as a recurrent coronal hole high-speed
stream becomes geoeffective.
III.  Event Probabilities 08 Oct-10 Oct
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           07 Oct 069
Predicted   08 Oct-10 Oct  069/069/069
90 Day Mean        07 Oct 069
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 06 Oct  001/001
Estimated Afr/Ap 07 Oct  001/002
Predicted Afr/Ap 08 Oct-10 Oct  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 08 Oct-10 Oct
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                05/05/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                05/05/10
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01