:Product: 1008RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2009 Oct 08 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 281 Issued at 2200Z on 08 Oct 2009
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  07/2100Z
to 08/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. No flares were detected.
The visible disk was spotless.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 07/2100Z to 08/2100Z:
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet levels.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be at quiet levels during days 1 - 2 (09 - 10 October).
Field activity is expected to increase to quiet to unsettled levels
on day 3 (11 October) due to a recurrent coronal hole high-speed
stream.
III.  Event Probabilities 09 Oct-11 Oct
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           08 Oct 069
Predicted   09 Oct-11 Oct  069/069/069
90 Day Mean        08 Oct 069
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 07 Oct  001/002
Estimated Afr/Ap 08 Oct  001/002
Predicted Afr/Ap 09 Oct-11 Oct  005/005-005/005-007/007
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 09 Oct-11 Oct
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                05/05/10
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                05/10/15
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01