:Product: 1009RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2009 Oct 09 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 282 Issued at 2200Z on 09 Oct 2009
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  08/2100Z
to 09/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. No flares were detected.
The visible disk was spotless.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 08/2100Z to 09/2100Z:
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet levels.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be at quiet levels on day 1 (10 October). Actitivy is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels during days 2 - 3 (11 -
12 October) due to weak recurrent coronal hole effects.
III.  Event Probabilities 10 Oct-12 Oct
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           09 Oct 069
Predicted   10 Oct-12 Oct  069/069/069
90 Day Mean        09 Oct 068
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 08 Oct  001/002
Estimated Afr/Ap 09 Oct  002/004
Predicted Afr/Ap 10 Oct-12 Oct  005/005-007/007-007/007
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 10 Oct-12 Oct
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                05/10/10
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                10/15/15
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01