:Product: 1020RSGA.txt :Issued: 2009 Oct 20 2200 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity SDF Number 293 Issued at 2200Z on 20 Oct 2009 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 19/2100Z to 20/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. No flares were detected. New Region 1028 (N26E51) was numbered. Region 1028 was a small single-spot A-type group. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low. IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 19/2100Z to 20/2100Z: Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet levels. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be at quiet levels through the period (21 - 23 October). III. Event Probabilities 21 Oct-23 Oct Class M 01/01/01 Class X 01/01/01 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF Green IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 20 Oct 071 Predicted 21 Oct-23 Oct 072/072/072 90 Day Mean 20 Oct 069 V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 19 Oct 001/001 Estimated Afr/Ap 20 Oct 001/003 Predicted Afr/Ap 21 Oct-23 Oct 005/005-005/005-005/005 VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 21 Oct-23 Oct A. Middle Latitudes Active 05/05/05 Minor storm 01/01/01 Major-severe storm 01/01/01 B. High Latitudes Active 05/05/05 Minor storm 01/01/01 Major-severe storm 01/01/01