:Product: 1103RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2009 Nov 03 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 307 Issued at 2200Z on 03 Nov 2009
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  02/2100Z
to 03/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. The SOHO/LASCO  imagery
observed a slow coronal mass ejection (CME) off the southwest limb
at 0501 UTC on 31 October.  The CME appears to be earth directed
with a plane-of sky speed of 380 km/s.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 02/2100Z to 03/2100Z:
Geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet on day 1 (4 November).  Unsettled conditions
are expected on day 2 (5 November) due to possible effects from the
CME observed on 31 October.  Quiet levels are expected to return on
day 3 (6 November).
III.  Event Probabilities 04 Nov-06 Nov
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           03 Nov 072
Predicted   04 Nov-06 Nov  070/070/070
90 Day Mean        03 Nov 070
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 02 Nov  002/002
Estimated Afr/Ap 03 Nov  005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 04 Nov-06 Nov  005/005-008/008-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 04 Nov-06 Nov
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                05/15/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                05/30/10
Minor storm           01/20/01
Major-severe storm    01/05/01