:Product: 1106RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2009 Nov 06 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 310 Issued at 2200Z on 06 Nov 2009
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  05/2100Z
to 06/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low.  Region 1030 (N24W07) was
a simple beta group with 6 spots. No flares were observed.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 05/2100Z to 06/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to
be quiet on day one (07 November). Quiet to unsettled levels, with a
slight chance for active conditions at high latitudes, are expected
on day two (08 November) in response to a weak recurrent coronal
hole high-speed stream. Activity is expected to decrease to quiet
levels on day three (09 November).
III.  Event Probabilities 07 Nov-09 Nov
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           06 Nov 071
Predicted   07 Nov-09 Nov  070/070/070
90 Day Mean        06 Nov 070
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 05 Nov  000/001
Estimated Afr/Ap 06 Nov  000/001
Predicted Afr/Ap 07 Nov-09 Nov  005/005-007/007-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 07 Nov-09 Nov
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                05/05/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                05/10/05
Minor storm           01/05/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01