:Product: 1107RSGA.txt :Issued: 2009 Nov 07 2200 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity SDF Number 311 Issued at 2200Z on 07 Nov 2009 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 06/2100Z to 07/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. Region 1030 (N25W25) decayed into a spotless plage region today. No flares were observed during the past 24 hours. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low. IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 06/2100Z to 07/2100Z: The geomagnetic field was quiet. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled, with a slight chance for an active period at high latitudes, on day one (08 November). The increase in activity is due to a weak recurrent coronal hole high-speed stream. Quiet levels are expected on days two and three (09-10 November). III. Event Probabilities 08 Nov-10 Nov Class M 01/01/01 Class X 01/01/01 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF green IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 07 Nov 071 Predicted 08 Nov-10 Nov 070/070/070 90 Day Mean 07 Nov 071 V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 06 Nov 000/000 Estimated Afr/Ap 07 Nov 000/003 Predicted Afr/Ap 08 Nov-10 Nov 007/007-005/005-005/005 VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 08 Nov-10 Nov A. Middle Latitudes Active 05/05/05 Minor storm 01/01/01 Major-severe storm 01/01/01 B. High Latitudes Active 10/05/05 Minor storm 01/01/01 Major-severe storm 01/01/01